Assuredly, the word of truth can be painful and uncomfortable. But it is the way to holiness, to peace, and to inner freedom. A pastoral approach which truly wants to help the people concerned must always be grounded in the truth. In the end, only the truth can be pastoral.
Distinction Matter - Subscribed Feeds
-
Site: Catholic ConclaveCardinal Hollerich. "We have not elected an anti-Trump Pope. He will last much longer""It will be a pontificate in continuity with the teaching of Pope Francis. And I am very happy about that. It is what the majority of cardinals wanted". Cardinal Jean-Claude Hollerich has a smiling face, even if he does not hide his tiredness. "These have been intense days", he confides. Both those of the Catholic Conclavehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06227218883606585321noreply@blogger.com0
-
Site: Rorate CaeliEarlier today, another sign that, no matter what happens, at least a sense of Catholic normalcy is returning to the Vatican.After each of the past conclaves, one of the first meetings of the elected Roman Pontiff is a salutation to the men and women of the media who covered the interregnum and conclave. In 2013, at the end of his rambling, Francis refused (simply refused) to impart the New Catholichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04118576661605931910noreply@blogger.com
-
Site: Catholic ConclavePope Leo XIV feels a strong connection to Spain, especially AragonIn Peru, he is considered a fellow countryman: merchants advertise their products with his portraitThey say that the place of birth is accidental. In the case of Robert Prevost, it is strictly true. Pope Leo XIV was born in Chicago, but with a "Peruvian heart," as his brother John has stated. He also feels a strong connection to Catholic Conclavehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06227218883606585321noreply@blogger.com0
-
Site: Ron Paul Institute - Featured Articles
President Trump’s return to the Middle East this week, the first since his first-term 2017 visit, will take place amidst great turmoil. It is a region that bears little resemblance to the Middle East of 2017 and it appears, at least from media reporting this past week, that the Trump Administration has some understanding of this reality.
Syria has been over-run and is now controlled by the same al-Qaeda that the US government supposedly spent 20 years fighting in the “war on terror.” Violence against religious and ethnic minorities has, predictably, exploded under the “rule” of a self-proclaimed Syrian president who until very recently was on the US “most wanted” terrorist list.
After the October 7, 2023, Hamas raid, Gaza has been reduced to rubble and turned into a humanitarian catastrophe. Tens of thousands of civilians have been killed and perhaps another million face starvation. US bombs and financial aid have facilitated the utter destruction of Gaza.
Iran has made peace with Saudi Arabia thanks to Chinese mediation and is deepening its ties with the Kingdom. Thus, the US has little leverage in talks with the two former enemies.
Israel is conducting military operations against several countries in the region simultaneously as the world increasingly condemns its aggression against its neighbors.
After tearing up the JCPOA nuclear deal with Iran in his first term, President Trump is pushing for a new deal with Iran while threatening to attack if negotiations do not produce the results he demands.
Massively increased US military action against the Houthis in Yemen starting in March did not result in their capitulation to US demands. Despite attempting to put the best spin on things, it is clear that the US retreated from the region in the face of a series of successful Yemeni actions in defense of their homeland.
Biden and then Trump launched attacks against Yemen on behalf of Israel, but in the end the US president wisely removed US military assets from the area and called off the bombing.
In short, President Trump will be wading into a minefield this week, but it is a peril that the US government has largely brought upon itself. Decades of US interventionism, from at least the 2003 Iraq war, have not produced the peaceful transformation of the region, as promised by the neocons and their mentor, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
From the unnecessary Iraq war – based on lies – to the destruction of Libya and Syria and countless other interventions, the Middle East is a basket case. And it turns out none of it actually helped Israel at all!
Having ignited the tinder box of the region with US backing, Israel has now found itself friendless in a region increasingly hostile to its policies and even its very existence. Now there are indications that the Trump Administration is tiring of this entangling alliance as the MAGA base looks more warily on foreign interventionism.
The lesson that President Trump should take with him is that to a large degree it has been US interventionism in the Middle East that has produced these poisoned fruits. His wise military disengagement from the Houthis in Yemen should serve as a US model for the region. Ties forged by trade and friendship produce peace and prosperity and are far preferable to endless neocon war cries.
-
Site: Catholic ConclaveDid you vote for Prevost, Cardinal?Cardinal Woelki of Cologne was one of three Germans to participate in the conclave. He discusses whether there were any disputes before the election of Leo XIV and what he thinks of the new pope.DIE ZEIT: Cardinal, you traveled to the conclave as one of 133 papal electors. Besides you, only two other Germans were allowed to vote: the former head of the Catholic Conclavehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06227218883606585321noreply@blogger.com0
-
Site: LifeNews
The story of a woman who drove over 700 miles to Albuquerque, New Mexico, intending to obtain an abortion but ultimately choosing life for her unborn child is a powerful testament to the sanctity of life and the impact of compassionate pro-life outreach.
The woman, whose identity remains private, embarked on this long journey from another state, likely from Texas and driven the easy accessibility of abortion in New Mexico, where abortions are legal up to birth. This story highlights the importance of offering support and alternatives to abortion.
Upon arriving in Albuquerque, the woman encountered a group of peaceful, faith-based pro-life advocates outside the abortion facility. These sidewalk counselors, committed to protecting unborn lives, engaged with her in a non-confrontational manner, offering prayers, information about fetal development, and resources for pregnancy support.
Their presence and gentle approach provided a critical moment of reflection for the woman, allowing her to reconsider her initial decision. This interaction exemplifies the pro-life movement’s emphasis on love and dialogue, aiming to inform rather than condemn, and demonstrates how personal connections can influence life-affirming choices.
Click here to sign up for pro-life news alerts from LifeNews.com
According to a statement from the Cherub Initiative, a local pro-life organization, the woman, identified as “Mama M,” arrived at SWO with her aunt after renting a car to make the long journey from Texas. The woman, who was six weeks pregnant, had initially intended to terminate her pregnancy at the facility, one of the few clinics in the nation that performs the latest-term abortions.
“Praise the Lord! Mama M chose life for both herself and her unborn baby because of both teams—the LIFE Runners Albuquerque Chapter and the Cherub Initiative Sidewalk Guardians For Life team!” the organization announced in an email celebrating the news.
Members of the pro-life groups gathered outside SWO for their monthly huddle and prayer outreach. “We began by putting on the full armor of God, being in prayer, public witness, peaceful, law-abiding presence, and doing outreach,” the email explained. When Mama M and her aunt arrived, the teams immediately began reaching out with words of encouragement and offered a “Mommy Hope Bag” filled with gifts and resources to support women choosing life.
The post Woman Drove 700 Miles to Abortion Clinic, Changed Her Mind When She Saw Pro-Life People Outside appeared first on LifeNews.com.
-
Site: southern orders
To say that the priests of Rome have been demoralized over the past 13 years is an understatement!But fresh air through open windows is blowing like a gentle breeze, this breeze is reaching all the clergy and laity of the world, especially we young Catholics!
From Silere non Possum:
Vatican City - Without clamor, without triumphant announcements or leaked communiqués to journalists, this morning Pope Leo XIV held his first private audience as the new Bishop of Rome. The recipient of the meeting was not a head of state or a high diplomatic representative, but Cardinal Baldassare Reina, Vicar General of His Holiness for the Diocese of Rome.
Leo XIV chose to begin his ministry as Pontiff in this way, marking in practice and not in words, his connection with the Urbe. No public emphasis on the meaning of the meeting, but a clear message: the Pope intends to be, first of all, the Bishop of Rome, for his priests and take care of them.
Behind the sobriety of gestures there is a deep awareness. Leo XIV knows well what happens inside the Vicariate and in the Diocese of Rome: the power games, the intrigues, the questionable choices that, over the years, have favored some to the detriment of others. A reality documented and denounced for a long time by rumors like Silere non possum. Yet, more than struggling with the shadows of the past, the new Pontiff seems to want to look forward, with lucidity, mildness, listening and a decisive step. His first concern is clear: the priests and the people of God of his diocese. It is to them that he wants to turn his energy and his care. And for this reason, on his first official day of meetings he chose to meet his vicar to whom he has already expressed the desire to meet the priests.
A symbolic and concrete gesture together marks the beginning of the journey that Leo XIV wishes to undertake as a pastor, close to his priests and his people. The attention that Pope Leone has immediately reserved for priestly vocations will also mean that the Pontiff will return to visit his seminary and dialogue with the trainers and future priests of his diocese. On May 31, 2025, Pope Prevost has already decided to preside over the presbytery ordinations in St. Peter's Basilica.
Thus begins, without clamor, a pontificate that announces itself sober, attentive to the real life of the Church and oriented to rediscover the authentic roots of Peter's ministry. Rome, once again, is in the center: unlike what has happened in recent times, the Pope does not exalt the title of Bishop of Rome to belittle that of Supreme Pontiff. On the contrary, he takes care with awareness and depth of his being Bishop of this Church, from which derives - by grace and by mission - also his universal responsibility as Pontiff of the Catholic Church.
-
Site: Mises InstitutePeterson implies the “dark tetrad” is emerging on the non-interventionist right, cloaking their real intentions with conservative rhetoric. Interestingly, however, a historical parallel exists in neoconservatism, whose intellectual roots are deeply rooted in Machiavellianism.
-
Site: Mises InstituteA free market economy does not generate jobs or money. Instead, it creates wealth through exchange and production. Government intervention, contrary to what mainstream economists believe, does not enhance wealth, but instead destroys it.
-
Site: Steyn OnlineProgramming note: I'll be back this evening, Monday, with the latest episode of our eighth-birthday Tale for Our Time, Three Men on the Bummel by Jerome K Jerome. ~Over the weekend we presented the first brand new video edition of The Mark Steyn Show
-
Site: Rorate CaeliNew Catholichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04118576661605931910noreply@blogger.com
-
Site: AsiaNews.itWhile the governments in New Delhi and Islamabad each claim victory after the ceasefire in Kashmir, the ceasefire is bringing some relief to an exhausted population. Meanwhile, extremists continue to fuel hatred on social media. Political tensions remain an obstacle to dialogue. Bishops on both sides of the border have launched appeals for a future of peace and shared development.
-
Site: LifeNews
Pro-life lawmakers from across the country are demanding that Congress put an end to federal funding for Planned Parenthood, calling on Republicans to use their “trifecta” in Washington.
The letter, sent to Senate Majority Leader John Thune, House Speaker Mike Johnson, Idaho Senator Mike Crapo and Kentucky Rep. Brett Guthrie and signed by 183 legislators, urges Republican leadership to include a measure to defund “Big Abortion” in the budget reconciliation bill, which is scheduled for markups on Tuesday. Planned Parenthood rakes in tens of millions from taxpayers every year, according to its annual reports, while performing about 400,000 abortions between 2021 and 2022.
“As pro-life state legislators from across the country who are members of the National Pro-Life Leaders Network, we are deeply concerned with the way that big abortion businesses like Planned Parenthood prey on unborn children and hurt women, all while receiving hundreds of millions of dollars from American taxpayers,” the letter, first shared with the Daily Caller News Foundation, reads. “With a Republican trifecta in Washington, it is time to use the budget reconciliation process to defund big abortion providers like Planned Parenthood.”
The letter also cites several cases of botched abortions that have occurred at Planned Parenthood and deteriorating conditions at the clinics that had disastrous results. In one case, a baby was never removed from a woman’s womb, and the woman later gave birth to the child who quickly passed away, according to The New York Times. At a Nebraska clinic in 2022 an abortion provider neglected to notice a woman was four months pregnant before inserting an IUD, leading her to deliver a stillborn baby just hours later.
Click here to sign up for pro-life news alerts from LifeNews.com
“Planned Parenthood has regularly opposed basic health and safety requirements for their facilities, all while providing poor care,” the letter says. “Women deserve better than this. Women and girls can receive better and more comprehensive care at Federally Qualified Health Centers and community health centers that vastly outnumber Planned Parenthoods.”
The state of Missouri is currently suing Planned Parenthood for allegedly helping a man traffic a 13-year-old girl across state lines in order to receive an abortion without her parents’ knowledge.
“Pro life has always been a big issue for me; it’s something I believe down to my very core, and I have always been very disappointed that federal dollars go to support an organization like Planned Parenthood that is happily destroying life and babies,” Republican Pennsylvania Rep. Kathy Rap told the DCNF. ” I believe it is time to send a strong message to our congressional leaders, both in the House and Senate and to the administration, that the majority of the American people do not want to fund Planned Parenthood when women have other resources that they can seek out for funding for prenatal health and maternal health. I do not believe that most of our citizens want to support an organization whose main goal is to perform abortions.”
Planned Parenthood did not respond to the DCNF’s request for comment.
LifeNews Note: Jaryn Crouson writes for Daily Caller. Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience.
The post Legislators From Almost Every State Call on Congress to Defund Planned Parenthood appeared first on LifeNews.com.
-
Site: PaulCraigRoberts.org
Can the Annual Theft of $521,000,000,000 from the Federal Budget Be Stopped?
Paul Craig Roberts
Democrat politicians led a break-in at a New Jersey ICE facility. In Worcester, Massachusetts, Democrat city council member Etel Haxhiaj led an assault on local police and federal officers in an effort to prevent apprehension by ICE of a violent immigrant-invader that the Biden scum permitted to illegally enter America in August, 2022. Local police demand action agains Etel Haxhiaj for assaulting police officers, but of course the Democrats support Etel Haxhiaj’s violence against the police, and nothing will happen to her unless the feds step in. https://nypost.com/2025/05/10/us-news/chaotic-video-shows-massachusetts-ice-arrest-being-disrupted-by-unruly-crowd-leading-to-2-arrests/
The fact that the Democrats and their judges are so determined to keep immigrant-invaders from being deported should tell us something. We should also learn something from all the foreign names of Democrat politicians and judges. The Camp of the Saints has deeply advanced into America. The Democrats have made it clear that they intend to rule us in behalf of the millions of immigrant-invaders the Democrats have intentionally brought into our country.
Democrat presstitutes such as Politico are attempting to generate fear of Trump by alleging that ICE will soon be picking up and deporting American citizens. And Trump is going to take away Social Security and destroy education, and so on. The fantasies multiply as the presstitutes stoke the flames of fear of Trump’s efforts to protect America. They don’t want America. They want a Tower of Babel.
And people fall for the fear-mongering. ICE doesn’t help by picking up foreign students for deportation because they protested Israel’s destruction of Palestine, or by staging daylight raids in an immigrant-invader’s neighborhood. There’s no way we are going to rid ourselves of millions of illegals one by one. Once a country is overrun, as America has been, it is for keeps. Is America any longer America, or has America transitioned into a Tower of Babel? The Democrat judges and the whore media are enforcing on us America as a Tower of Babel devoid of unity.
I think we are going to find out also that the organizations benefitting from what the nonpartisan Government Accountability Office concludes is $521,000,000,000 worth of larceny annually in the federal budget have squatters’ rights in the larceny. The theft has gone on for so long and is so institutionalized that the beneficiaries of the fraud regard it as a property right. In effect, those who have been defrauding us now have squatters’ rights in the fraud.
Two articles in the current issue of the City Journal address this serious matter. Steven Malanga brings to our attention that the federal budget funds anti-poverty, community building, social welfare, anti-crime and other such programs that never produce any results but continue to run for decades. Congress funds these programs without even requiring that criteria be established for assessing their success. It seems the money mainly goes for building political machines and the wealth of local politicians primarily for the Democrats who control the inner cities.
Heather Mac Donald exposes the facts of the National Institutes of Health’s funding of medical research. The NIH has been paying the universities where the research is conducted a cover charge equal to 69% of the grant to reimburse the universities for the cost of their infrastructure that supports the research. Universities are each receiving hundreds of million of dollars in “indirect funding” to pay for the university’s infrastructure used in the research.
But what does the cover charge really pay for? It seems it pays for the extraordinary expansion of the size and scope of the administrative bureaucracy. There seem to be endless vice presidents, assistant and vice provosts, and associate deans whose jobs are to police language, thought, speech, political correctness and provide emotional comfort to those in need.
For example, the Ivy League University of Pennsylvania has an an associate vice provost for Diversity, Equity, Inclusion & Belonging, a vice dean for Inclusion and Diversity and an Associate Dean for Diversity and Inclusion (the same function three times), offices for Inclusion Initiatives and Social Justice Education, Lesbian Gay Bisexual Transgender Center, Black Cultural Center, Penn Women’s Center, a vice dean for Transgender Patient Advocate Program and the LGBT Student-Trainee-Faculty Mentorship Program.
And these listings are just the tip of the iceberg.
The effort of the Trump administration to cut back on the grant overhead charges that fund six figure administration salaries and administrators that apparently in some universities outnumber the faculties is being presented by the universities as “the death of science from lack of funding.” Of course the whore media beats the drums loudly. The totally corrupt Democrat judges will jump in as they have in deportation and all other issues and rule that all of these claims on the taxpayers’ money are valid.
The position of the universities as I read it is that the Trump administration is attempting to take away their entitlement. They are asserting squatters’ rights to their theft from the American people, and the Democrat judges will rule in their favor.
Indeed, so might the Republican ones as the judiciary sees in the situation the opportunity to seize power from the executive.
Americans need to understand that if Trump fails, tyranny is their future.
-
Site: PaulCraigRoberts.org
British PM Admits UK Being Engulfed in the Camp of the Saints
Paul Craig Roberts
PM Keir Starmer said immigrant-invaders are turning Britain into an “island of strangers.” He blames the Conservatives for betraying the British people for cheap foreign labour that is “pulling our country apart.” Unlimited immigration has inflicted “incalculable damage” on Great Britain. Starmer promises to reduce annual inflows by 100,000. His program seems to be to reduce the rate at which England is becoming an “island of strangers,” not to stop the process. The white birth rate is falling, and that of the immigrant-invaders is rising. Before long there will be no more white countries. The leaders of the white ethnicities thought delivering their countries into the hands of invaders was “the moral thing to do,” a clear indication that the West’s belief system has been destroyed. Upon its new foundations the West is constructing a Sodom & Gomorrah Tower of Babel.
Care4Calais, an activist group for immigrant-invaders, accused Starmer of “fanning the fire of the far-right,” by using “shameful and dangerous language.” Countries based on ethnicity and common values are unacceptable to the liberal-left. Multiculturalism means a Tower of Babel, disunity, and as the immigrant-invaders gain power persecution of the remaining white population. The Camp of the Saints is now upon us just as Jean Raspail predicted in 1973. In the US the judiciary won’t allow President Trump to enforce the law and deport illegal aliens.
How can a country with no sense of itself beyond a geographical location that cannot defend its borders go to war with countries that know who they are, such as Russia, China, and Iran? For whom is a Tower of Babel fighting?
-
Site: Ron Paul Institute - Featured Articles
We often hear U.S. and NATO spokesmen claim that they believe in a rules-based international order. They don’t.
The United States and its NATO allies have stressed repeatedly that Russia’s use of force to seize portions of Ukraine is reprehensible. They were emphatic on that point in 2014 when the Kremlin responded to the West’s role in overthrowing Ukraine’s democratically elected, pro-Russian president, Victor Yanukovych, by taking control of the Crimean Peninsula and then annexing it after a rigged referendum. The furious NATO powers imposed a variety of economic sanctions against Russia. Secretary of State John Kerry and other Western officials stated explicitly that such behavior was utterly unacceptable in a “rules-based” international system.
U.S. and European leaders took an even more hardline stance in February 2022 when Russia escalated the confrontation with Kyiv by launching a full-scale invasion and occupying major portions of Ukraine’s Donbass region. Washington and its allies promptly imposed a new array of even harsher economic sanctions on Russia. They also deepened their involvement in the dispute by providing weapons sales and other military aid to Kyiv, transforming the fight between Ukraine and Russia into a de facto NATO proxy war against Russia.
NATO’s hypocrisy on the issue of one country seizing another country’s territory by force is breathtaking. NATO as an entity committed the same offense when it bombed Serbia to compel Belgrade to relinquish control of its province of Kosovo in 1999. Moreover, a NATO member, Turkey, has committed blatant acts of aggression against three neighbors, Cyprus, Iraq, and Syria, to secure illicit territorial gains. NATO as an alliance, and the United States as NATO’s leading power, have tolerated Ankara’s rogue behavior, even as they express utter indignation at Moscow’s similar conduct.
Turkish troops moved into Cyprus in the summer of 1974, ostensibly to protect Turkish Cypriots, who made up a little less than 20 percent of the island’s population and were repeatedly involved in violent confrontations with the larger Greek Cypriot community. On this occasion, after the initial intervention, Turkish forces expanded outward from the predominantly Turkish areas in the north and promptly occupied ethnic Greek portions of the island, creating thousands of refugees.
Turkey’s aggression against Cyprus was more brazen and extensive than Russia’s absorption of Crimea or even the takeover of oblasts in the Donbass following the Kremlin’s larger 2022 incursion. Moscow now controls approximately 20 percent of Ukraine. By the time Turkish forces in Cyprus finished their offensive, they occupied nearly 40 percent of the country.
Washington’s reaction to Ankara’s aggression was tepid at best. Indeed, critics contend that Secretary of State Henry Kissinger was quietly supportive of Turkey’s actions. Members of Washington’s military elite definitely did not wish to antagonize their Turkish counterparts. Widespread anger in Congress about a NATO member committing such a blatant act of aggression led to the imposition of some sanctions against Turkey, but Ankara’s supporters in the executive branch and the defense industry worked to dilute those sanctions from the outset. Within a few years, the punitive measures faded away, and military cooperation between Washington and Ankara returned to normal. Congress lifted the embargo on sales of arms to Turkey in 1978.
U.S. policymakers soon were content to see the Cyprus situation become a frozen conflict. Year after year, Washington’s supposed mediation efforts to produce political reunification of Cyprus led to little progress. More than a half century after Turkey’s invasion and occupation of its neighbor, Ankara effectively controls northern Cyprus through a puppet client state that it created. Over 100,000 settlers from mainland Turkey were brought in, from 1974 to 2005, to replace Greek Cypriot residents who were expelled during the 1974 war.
Cyprus has been the most prominent victim of Ankara’s use of military force to gain control of additional territory, but it is not the only one. After the 2003 overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s Iraqi regime and the establishment of the self-governing Kurdish region in northern Iraq, Turkish military forces conducted dozens of incursions. During Donald Trump’s first administration, Ankara took even more extensive action against Kurdish-controlled regions in northern Syria. Turkey’s government has not made a formal claim to land in either country, but Ankara effectively controls a significant swath of territory beyond its border with both neighbors.
Washington’s alleged commitment to a rules-based international order is phony. That is especially the case with respect to the use of force for territorial conquest. U.S. leaders stood by with scarcely a murmur of protest as Israel seized and ultimately annexed Syria’s Golan Heights following the 1967 war. Nor did U.S. policymakers say much when Israeli governments moved settlers into the West Bank, forcibly displacing Palestinian residents. More recently, Washington has actively collaborated with Israel’s efforts to dominate Gaza and expel its Palestinian inhabitants.
Such Israeli actions are at least finally getting extensive attention and growing condemnation around the world. The territorial depredations of another rogue U.S. ally, Turkey, have gone largely unnoticed for decades. That attitude needs to change. U.S. leaders should hold a fellow NATO member to an even higher standard than they do other countries with respect to military aggression and the illicit seizure of territory. The contrast between Washington’s vehement condemnation of Russia’s actions in Ukraine and its tolerance of Turkey’s even more egregious actions in Syria, Iraq, and especially Cyprus is both striking and sickening.
Reprinted with permission from Antiwar.com.
-
Site: LifeNews
The Energy and Commerce Committee has unveiled their portion of the reconciliation bill that Republicans plan to advance in Congress to cut the massive size of the federal government.
The good news for pro-life Americans is that the measure includes language to defund Planned Parenthood and Big Abortion.
Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America, a leading pro-life group, celebrated the news.
“It’s time to stop forcing taxpayers to fund the Big Abortion industry. Thanks to Speaker Johnson and Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Brett Guthrie, this year’s budget reconciliation bill contains the commonsense language to make that happen,” said Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of SBA Pro-Life America in comments to LifeNews.com.
Click here to sign up for pro-life news alerts from LifeNews.com
She continued: “Taxpayers should never be mandated to prop up an industry that profits from ending lives and harming women and girls. Take Planned Parenthood, the nation’s largest abortion chain. While their non-abortion services have sharply declined, abortions, transgender ‘treatments’ and political spending against Republicans are skyrocketing. While raking in close to $2 million a day in tax dollars, they are responsible for the deaths of almost 400,000 babies in a single year. Women and girls have also died on Planned Parenthood’s watch.”
Dannenfelser added: “Better alternatives to businesses like Planned Parenthood exist for women. They will receive high quality care at community health centers that outnumber Planned Parenthood facilities 15:1 nationwide. These centers are accessible and provide much more comprehensive care without performing abortions – and because Medicaid dollars follow patients, they can continue to use Medicaid.
“Forcing Americans to fund the abortion industry is a gross abuse of our hard-earned tax dollars and it’s unconscionable how long it has gone on. President Trump and Republicans included defunding in their 2017 reconciliation bill. We have a historic opportunity to get the job done in 2025 and we look forward to a vote on the House floor.”
Last week, a few Republicans in the House and Senate expressed their reservations about defunding Planned Parenthood within the budget bill. Asked about that, President Donald Trump expressed confidence that Republicans will resolve internal disagreements to advance legislation defunding Planned Parenthood.
“I don’t know yet. I have to see because you’re just telling me that for the first time, we’ll work something out,” Trump said in response.
The reconciliation process, which allows legislation to pass the Senate with a simple majority, offers Republicans a rare opportunity to strip federal funding from Planned Parenthood, the nation’s largest abortion business. Pro-life groups argue that taxpayer dollars, even if not directly funding abortions, indirectly subsidize Planned Parenthood’s operations, which include killing over 390,000 babies every year.
However, three House Republicans—Reps. John Curtis of Utah, Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania, and Anthony D’Esposito of New York—are reportedly hesitant to support the defunding measure with Planned Parenthood defunding in it. They fear political backlash in their competitive 2026 reelection campaigns.
Pro-life advocates emphasize that community health centers, which outnumber Planned Parenthood clinics and provide comprehensive care without abortions, can absorb patients if funding is redirected.
House Speaker Mike Johnson, a staunch pro-life advocate, has signaled that defunding “big abortion” is a priority in the reconciliation bill, which also addresses Trump’s agenda on taxes, border security, and energy.
The Hyde Amendment already prohibits federal funds from directly paying for abortions, except in cases of rape, incest, or to save the mother’s life. However, Planned Parenthood receives approximately $700 million annually through Medicaid reimbursements and Title X grants. Pro-life leaders argue this funding frees up resources for Planned Parenthood’s abortion operations.
The reconciliation bill, which allows legislation to pass with a simple majority in both chambers, is seen as a critical opportunity to strip federal funding from Planned Parenthood, the nation’s largest abortion business. The abortion company received nearly $700 million in taxpayer funds in its 2022-2023 fiscal year, killing 392,715 babies in abortions, according to its annual report.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) wants the big budget reconciliation plan extending President Donald Trump’s tax cuts sent to his desk — ready for signature — by July 4. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) would like it even sooner: Memorial Day.
Meanwhile, Representative Mary Miller (R-Ill.) is waging a fierce campaign among her Republican colleagues to make defunding Planned Parenthood a non-negotiable piece of the final proposal.
On Monday, Miller sent a passionate letter to Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.), chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, obtained by Breitbart News. In it, she urged Guthrie to “use every legislative option available to cease all federal funds going to Planned Parenthood,” exposing the organization’s deep entanglement in abortion and transgender treatments. “Abortions and transgender treatments have exploded in clinics across the country,” she wrote.
Citing the Charlotte Lozier Institute, Miller highlighted that “abortions made up 97.1% of Planned Parenthood’s pregnancy services from 2021-2022, performing nearly 400,000 abortions.” She also underscored the crisis in her home state, noting, “In 2023, my home state of Illinois performed 72,143 abortions, the most in our history since the state started reporting abortion totals in 1973.” Miller laid bare Planned Parenthood’s financial empire, stating, “Due to a lack of decisive Congressional action, Planned Parenthood has become a federally funded health network with private assets valued at $2.5 billion. Recent numbers show that Planned Parenthood received nearly $700 million in taxpayer revenue from 2022-2023.”
Her letter concluded with a call to action: “It is essential that we protect taxpayer dollars and stop funding this organization. President Trump has already issued an Executive Order that implements such a plan. Therefore, I urge you to do everything possible to ensure Planned Parenthood never receives another penny of taxpayer dollars.”
Speaking to Breitbart, Miller doubled down, declaring, “Planned Parenthood is a multi-billion-dollar abortion business that continues to receive millions in federal funding.” She praised Trump’s leadership, stating, “President Trump had it right when he issued an Executive Order to cut off taxpayer dollars from abortion providers like Planned Parenthood,” and insisted, “it’s time for Congress to make that policy permanent. I urge the Energy and Commerce Committee to ensure that not another dime of American tax dollars goes to this murder-for-profit organization.”
The post House Reconciliation Bill Unveiled, Will Defund Planned Parenthood appeared first on LifeNews.com.
-
Site: Fr. Z's BlogFrom a priest… QUAERITUR: I have not had time, and will probably not any time soon to go back to footage of previous last handful of Roman Pontiff to confirm, but I heard that apparently Pope Leo XIV when he … Read More →
-
Site: LES FEMMES - THE TRUTH
-
Site: Novus Motus LiturgicusThe Durandus Institute for Sacred Liturgy & Music is pleased to announce its first collaboration on a liturgical event in the Byzantine Rite. On Saturday, May 31 – the eve of the seventh Sunday of Pascha and the Sunday of the Fathers of the First Ecumenical Council – we will be praying a Great Vespers & Lytia at the Ukrainian Greek-Catholic church of St Nicholas in Philadelphia, in Gregory DiPippohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13295638279418781125noreply@blogger.com0
-
Site: Ron Paul Institute for Peace And Prosperity
Cops enforce laws. On first impression that may seem a good thing as one considers long in place laws, such as against assault, murder, and theft, that can help protect individuals’ ability to live in peace. But, laws have proliferated over time in America so that cops are spending a significant portion of their effort enforcing laws against things like drugs and even speech — acting to restrain instead of protect the exercise of individual rights.
Coming with the expansion of laws has been the conversion, continuing during the Donald Trump administration, of police departments largely into effectively military forces with military-style practices and weapons more suited for fighting against an opposing military force than for serving and protecting the people in a community.
A demonstration of the extent of this conversion of police forces came up in recent oral argument at the United States Supreme Court for the case of Martin v. United States. There a lawyer for the US government argued, in the case concerning a wrong house being hit by a brutal Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) no-knock SWAT raid, that it is acceptable for police not to even check the house number out front before detonating an explosive in a house, knocking down a door, and rushing in guns drawn. Crazy but true. Read here a Friday Reason article by Billy Binion that includes an excerpt from the oral argument and some background details.
-
Site: Fr. Z's BlogFrom a reader… QUAERITUR: Our pastor had a rare situation with the election of the Pope. The white smoke went up, indicating that we had a new Pope, but before who the new Pope was announced, he had to go … Read More →
-
Site: Catholic ConclaveCathcon: Just goes to show how terrible the years following renunciation must have been for Pope Benedict.Monsignor Georg Gänswein: "The season of arbitrariness is over. The confused past must be overcome"Ratzinger's former prefect, now Nuncio to the Baltics. "The institutions of the Church are not a leprosy""A middle way between Pope Benedict XVI and Pope Francis? If we combine Catholic Conclavehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06227218883606585321noreply@blogger.com0
-
Site: southern orders
Please note that Pope Leo’s cassock maintains that short sleeves that goes over the long sleeves of the cassock. Francis abandoned that look, which Benedict had recovered. His Holiness takes possession of the Apostolic Palace and apartment showing its wonderful papal chapel so unlike the Vatican Motel VI’s chapel.
The second video is the audience Pope Leo had with journalists.
-
Site: southern orders
I can remember when Francis was elected pope, very quickly the heterodox right starting panicking that Pope Francis was going to turn upside down the Church as Pope Benedict had led it. It started immediately when Pope Francis abandoned the tradition of the Mozzetta and papal stole and only put a stole on for his first blessing after he asked those before him to bless him. And then he immediately got rid of the stole. Those who love papal traditions and trappings that transcend the man who is elected, were aghast as they should have been.What happened 13 years ago is happening again today with the election of Pope Leo XIV. He does not disdain the trappings of the institutional papacy. The heterodox left is freaking out, not only over the Mozzetta and papal stole, which Leo wears so impeccably, but also because he now uses an upgraded vehicle for transportation and will live in the Apostolic Palace instead of the Vatican Motel VI.
Leo is also very clear. They know he will not have a magisterium of off-the-cuff homilies and interviews and act like a pop psychologist decrying the mental illness of backwards. The Vatican will NOT have to do damage control over some of the things that they had to do when Francis spoke.
There will be a solid papal magisterium as there has been with all other popes except Francis.
Pope Leo condemns liturgy as spectacle and superficial!
Finally, Pope Leo as a priest and bishop decried that over the last 60 years, the liturgy has been transformed or celebrated as a spectacle rather than as a Mystery. For him a spectacle is superficial and distracts from the true nature of the Liturgy as people discovering the Mystery of Christ, not technical spectacles.
I would suspect that Pope Leo appreciates the TLM for its superb enablement of priests and laity to experience the solid foundation of Jesus Christ in the Mystery of the Mass, not some kind of man made spectacle of light and thunder.
This is an example of superficial spectacle and entertainment that moves the Mass away from Christ and Mystery!:
-
Site: AsiaNews.itThe local government is asking the Legislative Council (which it controls) to approve a new regulation that would hand over jurisdiction to mainland China in "complex cases" involving foreign countries. The measure appears tailored to the case of Jimmy Lai. The "geopolitical situation" is cited as justification. It was opposition to extradition that sparked the pro-democracy protests in 2019.
-
Site: Mundabor's blogPope Leo XIV met the journalists that had participated in the Conclave and imparted his Apostolic Blessing. Francis had refused to do it, imparting a “silent” one, because some of them were not Catholics and some of them were atheists. In Francis’ own words: “Since many of you are not members of the Catholic Church, […]
-
Site: AsiaNews.itCare for creation and overcoming divisions were the themes at the centre of the Argentine pontiff's last apostolic journey in September last year. Already by name the successor draws the Church's attention to the 'new things' and the challenges of the present. The sacredness of life and the mission to build bridges in society.
-
Site: Mises InstituteThe modern state, unlike the medieval monarchy, does not merely tax to sustain itself or to defend the nation. It taxes to reshape society and to manage an increasingly restive population.
-
Site: AsiaNews.itDuring Chinese President Xi Jinping's three-day visit to Moscow, the "Power of Siberia-2" gas pipeline—vital to Russia's economy—was once again a topic of discussion. Beijing is already supporting Russia's expanding military production by supplying microelectronic components blocked by Western sanctions. The presence of Chinese soldiers in the parade before Lenin's mausoleum also reflects internal political considerations within China.
-
Site: Zero HedgeMinnesota Is The Most Financially Literate State In The USTyler Durden Mon, 05/12/2025 - 05:45
How well are Americans managing their money, and how does it vary between the states?
This financial literacy map, via Visual Capitalist's Pallavi Rao, attempts to answer both questions using 2025 data from WalletHub, a personal finance services company.
They ranked and scored states on three main benchmarks: financial education, financial planning (or consumer habits), and how Wallethub’s own users performed on their financial literacy survey.
ℹ️ These benchmarks are further subdivided into 17 metrics (credit score, savings, personal finance courses, etc.) and are weighted differently. Please read the source’s methodology section for a full breakdown.
The Most Financially Savvy U.S. State
Minnesota is the most financially literate U.S. state with 73 points, according to WalletHub’s latest analysis.
Here’s some sub indicators where Minnesota outperformed the rest of the country.
- High-schoolers must take at least one personal finance program.
- Only 15% of the surveyed Minnesotans spent more than they made—the lowest across all states.
- Highest median credit score in the country (751).
And here’s how each state scores out of 100. Figures are rounded.
Rank State State Code Total Score
(Out of 100) 1 Minnesota MN 73 2 Colorado CO 69 3 Nebraska NE 69 4 Virginia VA 69 5 Wisconsin WI 68 6 New Hampshire NH 68 7 Iowa IA 67 8 Washington WA 67 9 Vermont VT 67 10 New Jersey NJ 67 11 Maryland MD 67 12 Florida FL 66 13 Utah UT 66 14 Pennsylvania PA 65 15 Maine ME 65 16 Michigan MI 65 17 Oregon OR 65 18 North Carolina NC 65 19 Ohio OH 65 20 Indiana IN 65 21 Missouri MO 65 22 Arizona AZ 64 23 Massachusetts MA 64 24 Kansas KS 64 25 Connecticut CT 64 26 Delaware DE 64 27 North Dakota ND 64 28 West Virginia WV 63 29 Texas TX 63 30 Idaho ID 63 31 Rhode Island RI 63 32 Illinois IL 62 33 Georgia GA 62 34 Wyoming WY 62 35 New York NY 61 36 Nevada NV 61 37 South Carolina SC 61 38 Montana MT 60 39 New Mexico NM 60 40 Alabama AL 60 41 Hawaii HI 60 42 District of Columbia DC 58 43 California CA 58 44 Alaska AK 58 45 Louisiana LA 58 46 Mississippi MS 58 47 Tennessee TN 58 48 Kentucky KY 57 49 South Dakota SD 56 50 Oklahoma OK 54 51 Arkansas AR 53Meanwhile, Arkansas tested the worst, with 53 points. Its score is impacted by having the second-worst performance on WalletHub’s financial literacy survey.
And here’s each state’s rank within the three main benchmarks.
Rank State WalletLiteracy Rank
(50% Weight) Financial Planning
Rank (25% Weight) Financial Knowledge
Rank (25% Weight) 1 Minnesota 7 2 3 2 Colorado 8 1 20 3 Nebraska 9 25 6 4 Virginia 31 9 1 5 Wisconsin 14 6 14 6 New Hampshire 4 8 23 7 Iowa 10 27 15 8 Washington 12 3 30 9 Vermont 5 20 26 10 New Jersey 15 29 12 11 Maryland 13 11 22 12 Florida 37 16 9 13 Utah 47 10 2 14 Pennsylvania 26 23 17 15 Maine 1 28 40 16 Michigan 22 22 19 17 Oregon 46 21 4 18 North Carolina 35 37 8 19 Ohio 29 43 7 20 Indiana 33 40 10 21 Missouri 40 39 5 22 Arizona 18 33 25 23 Massachusetts 20 7 39 24 Kansas 11 35 35 25 Connecticut 50 5 11 26 Delaware 28 15 29 27 North Dakota 23 13 37 28 West Virginia 25 47 13 29 Texas 41 38 16 30 Idaho 39 19 28 31 Rhode Island 32 18 34 32 Illinois 27 32 33 33 Georgia 34 44 21 34 Wyoming 3 30 43 35 New York 24 17 42 36 Nevada 45 31 24 37 South Carolina 30 34 41 38 Montana 2 36 47 39 New Mexico 21 48 36 40 Alabama 44 42 27 41 Hawaii 19 12 48 42 District of Columbia 17 24 49 43 California 42 4 46 44 Alaska 6 14 51 45 Louisiana 43 49 32 46 Mississippi 36 51 31 47 Tennessee 49 41 38 48 Kentucky 51 45 18 49 South Dakota 16 26 50 50 Oklahoma 38 50 45 51 Arkansas 48 46 44There’s some further insights to explain some noticeable geographic trends.
- Colorado and Nebraska also require personal finance education in high school.
- Kentucky, Oklahoma, and Arkansas have the lowest share of adults with emergency cash.
- A higher share of Southern state residents borrow from non-bank lenders, affecting their financial planning score.
The Overlooked Part of Financial Literacy: Managing Debt
While investing in the markets is all the rage—particularly with the rise of no-fee platforms—WalletHub’s benchmarks prioritize an often overlooked part of money management: debt.
America’s credit card debt collectively crossed $1 trillion in 2023, and it’s only been growing since.
On average, American households have about $5,000 in outstanding credit card balances, which can take anywhere between one to two years to pay off depending on monthly incomes.
Of course, managing expenditures to avoid or reduce debt has been particularly difficult in the multiple years of post-pandemic inflation.
Need more money management insights about the United States? Check out: America’s Average Bank Account Balance, by State for a quick overview.
-
Site: Real Investment Advice
Tweets like the one we share below allude that the Fed is doing stealth QE, despite the fact that they publicly claim to be conducting QT. Given the importance of the Fed balance sheet, let's dive into the stealth QE accusation and uncover the facts.
The graphic within the Tweet contains the official Treasury Department announcement of last Tuesday’s ten-year Treasury auction. The red arrow highlights that the Fed, via its SOMA account, bought $14.8 billion of the auction notes. While the Fed is buying, leading to stealth QE claims, they are not adding to their balance sheet. Under the current QT regime, the Fed targets a $5 billion monthly decline in its Treasury securities holdings. For example, about $76 billion of its bonds will mature in May. Therefore, if $76 billion naturally leaves the balance sheet but the goal is for a $5 billion decline, they must buy $71 billion throughout the month.
Another bit of false information we hear is that Fed purchases are making Treasury auctions appear better than they are. This, like stealth QE, is patently false. The size of the auctions is announced in advance. After the auction buyers and yield are determined, the Fed buys additional bonds from the Treasury at the predetermined auction yield. Thus, the Fed's purchase of bonds does not affect the auction statistics. The auction shown below was for $42 billion. The relevant auction statistics are based on the $42 billion and the type of buyers.
What To Watch Today
Earnings
Economy
- No economic data of consequence
Market Trading Update
Last week, we discussed that while the market improved sharply, the underlying economic data continues to decline steadily. However, given that the data was not recessionary, the market rallied and took out some key resistance levels. To wit:
“This past week, two reports confirmed the economy is slowing. First, there was the weak GDP report, which showed growth of roughly one percent, after discounting the impact of the trade deficit. Secondly, while the employment number was higher than expected, job growth also slowed. However, those reports should have tempered market enthusiasm as they reduced hopes for Fed rate cuts. However, the market pushed higher as investors raced to jump back into “risk assets” as the market cleared initial resistance at the 20-DMA and reversed all of the ‘Liberation Day” losses.‘”
The market paused its advance before the Fed meeting on Wednesday, which was remarkably uneventful. The Fed held rates steady as expected and did not provide much guidance regarding its forecast for future rate cuts. However, on Thursday, the Trump administration discussed its first “trade deal” with the UK. Notably, the US has a trade surplus with the UK, making negotiating a trade deal easier. Nonetheless, announcing a long-awaited agreement gave the market hope that more deals eventually will follow. Unfortunately, other trade deals with actual “trade deficit” countries may be tougher and take much longer to negotiate.
Technically, the market is beginning to repair much of the damage from the “Liberation Day” tariff announcements. However, on Thursday, we made the case that we are still tracing out the 2022 market analogy. As shown in the weekly chart below, in 2022, the market sold off and triggered a weekly moving-average crossover in early March. Immediately following that selloff, the market rallied back to those longer-term moving averages and briefly broke above. That “bear market rally,” sucked investors back into the market, just to “rug pull” from beneath them. Such is how correctional markets work.
You will notice that the recent selloff has also triggered that same moving average crossover, and immediately coincided with a reflexive rally. The market has broken above the first moving average, challenging the second as investors and the media are increasingly bullish on stocks. Will the market “rug pull” on investors once again? I don’t know. However, as stated, if we are in a more protracted market correction, the risk is elevated, and we could see another retracement to support before this correction is complete.
Reasons The Correction Could Be Over, Or Not
It is always difficult to say whether this is a “bear market” rally while you are in the midst of it. In hindsight, these things are easy to identify, and investors have plenty of reasons to play the “could’ve should’ve” game. However, some valid arguments exist about why the recent correction was just that, and may now be over.
- Q1 earnings were above average, which is boosting investor confidence, particularly in the “Mag 7” and related AI stories.
- Investor sentiment is improving from extremely low levels and is not overly bullish.
- Treasury yields are coming down, along with inflationary pressures.
- Uncertainty around tariffs, the main driver of the correction, is rapidly becoming less of a threat.
- Recession risks have fallen sharply with the latest economic data.
- Market valuations have corrected somewhat in recent weeks.
Of course, there are reasons for concern that should also not be dismissed.
- Economic data and consumer confidence are getting weaker.
- Political policy uncertainty remains elevated.
- Despite the recent rally, the market still suffers significant technical damage.
- Investors were not prepared for the recent magnitude of the correction, providing potentially significant sellers wanting to get out. (Trapped longs)
- Monetary policy uncertainty remains elevated.
- Valuations, while reduced, remain well elevated from the long-term median and average.
With balanced risks, investors will likely benefit by remaining cautious and managing risk exposures until a more bullish path is exposed.
The Week Ahead
Inflation data highlights the week, with CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Thursday. The current estimate is for CPI to increase by 0.3% after falling by 0.1% last month. While the updated inflation data will be well followed, it may be too early to see the impact of tariffs. Accordingly, the market may discount any good inflation news. In addition to PPI, retail sales, and a speech by Jerome Powell are also on the calendar for Thursday. Moreover, several Fed members will opine on Fed policy this week.
Employment Data Confirms The Economy Is Slowing
While coming in much stronger than expected, the latest employment data confirmed what we already suspected: the economy is slowing. The reason the employment data is so important is that without employment growth, the economy stalls. It takes, on average, about 200,000 jobs each month to keep up with population growth, which ultimately keeps the economy growing. That is because, as discussed in last week’s #BullBearReport, the consumer comprises about 70% of economic growth. To wit:
“There is currently no evidence that the economy is slipping into a recession. However, if you want to know if an economic decline will evolve into a recession, there is one key factor to consider: consumer spending. Consumer spending comprises nearly 70% of the GDP calculation, and everything else, from business investment to imports and exports, is a function of the consumer’s “demand.” In other words, if the consumer is slowing down or contracting spending, businesses will not “invest” in expansion projects, increasing employment, or buying more products for resale. That relationship is shown in the chart below, which compares PCE to employment and private investment.”
However, most crucially, consumers can not consume without producing something first. Production must come first to generate the income needed for that consumption. The cycle is displayed below.
Here is the most critical point. Not all jobs are equal. READ MORE...
Tweet of the Day
“Want to achieve better long-term success in managing your portfolio? Here are our 15-trading rules for managing market risks.”
Please subscribe to the daily commentary to receive these updates every morning before the opening bell.
If you found this blog useful, please send it to someone else, share it on social media, or contact us to set up a meeting.
The post Stealth QE Or Routine QT? Unpacking Recent Fed Activity appeared first on RIA.
-
Site: Real Investment Advice
Assessing a bear market rally proves challenging when you experience it firsthand. It is only in hindsight that the complete picture reveals itself to investors. Of course, after a bear market rally, investors tend to review their investments and speculate on what they should have done differently.
Retail investors seem to view the recent sharp correction as possibly finished. As I noted last week on X, despite the near 20% correction in the markets, retail investors piled into US equities at a record pace. Of course, historically, retail investors were considered a contrarian indicator, but in recent years, particularly post-pandemic, they have been aggressive buyers of any dip in the market. Of course, after 15 years of monetary and fiscal interventions to stave off deeper bear markets, their "buy the dip" mentality is unsurprising.
Before we go further, we should discuss what a "bear market rally" is to frame better our discussion about what the possibilities and probabilities of what happens next.
Bear Market Rally Or Just A Correction?
A bear market rally represents a short-term increase in stock prices that emerges while the market is in a downward trend. Such price rallies bring forth positive expectations because markets experience significant upward movements throughout several weeks or months. These rallies do not indicate any actual market recovery. They serve as brief interruptions before the dominant downward trend continues. The general drivers of these bear market rallies generally result from investors buying back their short positions, market participants feeling increasingly optimistic, and technical indicators showing oversold conditions. As such, they increase risk assets.
However, the fundamental problems that initiated the previous corrective phase are still present. Such factors generally range from declining earnings to monetary condition changes, rising recession risk, economic policy uncertainty, or a combination that persists despite temporary price increases. Reality eventually returns to market fundamentals, which makes the rally disappear before the bearish trend reemerges. A good example was 2022, where investors experienced several bear market rallies amid the Federal Reserve increasing interest rates while Russia invaded Ukraine. Each time the bear market rally occurred, it sucked bullish investors back into the market and left them stranded.
Conversely, a correction, which occurs during an upward market trend and represents a decline of 10% or more, differs from a bear market rally. Generally, a correction is a short, singular down cycle within a rising trend. These events typically stem from short-term market anxieties, including overbought positions, geopolitical disturbances, and policy modifications. Yet, they do not shift the future direction of the market. The market stabilizes after a correction because positive economic trends and favorable earnings support its upward movement. The fundamental distinction rests in the environment and period of the market situation. The basic trend stays solid during a bull market correction, and investors will eventually experience positive outcomes from new price peaks. A good example of corrections within a bullish trend is evident in the 2023-2024 market. Despite a bank crisis, concerns of AI, or leveraged blowups, the market recovered quickly and moved to new highs.
The risk for investors is the real-time determination of what type of corrective action we are in. Investors who reenter risk assets during a bear market rally face additional market declines since the primary downward trend continues after the brief recovery. Investors who buy the dip during a corrective phase in a bull market benefit.
One grievance I often receive from readers is that I don't tell you the answer. The reason is that neither I nor anyone else can predict the future. All I can do for you is address the possibilities and probabilities of what can happen so you can manage your investment risk accordingly.
With that said, let's dig into both cases.
The Bull Case For A Correction
The bulls can certainly make a case for continuing the bull market that began in October 2022.
First, Q1 earnings delivered above-average results overall but were primarily driven by major technology companies and the AI-powered "Magnificent 7." That cohort continues to provide the cornerstone for investor optimism. However, even though the largest capitalization-weighted companies delivered the bulk of earnings, the proportion of companies beating estimates remained well above the long-term average of 74%.
Secondly, financial conditions refer to current conditions across financial markets that can affect the dynamics of the economy. Those factors include improved interest rate levels, U.S. Treasury yields, credit risk spreads, equity valuations, and currency strength, which are supportive of the financial markets.
Furthermore, sentiment among both professional and retail investors has rebounded from its profoundly negative state, which is bringing buyers back into the market. Notably, that sentiment remains far from optimistic, providing further support for asset prices. The chart below shows the Z-score (standard deviation) of the net bullish sentiment of both retail and professional investors. Profoundly negative readings are often coincident with market lows.
Overall, investors maintain a favorable position toward the market because the current conditions provide sufficient space for constructive improvements without leading to excessive speculation. The recent market decline resulting from tariff concerns has proven more significant than expected. However, it is worth noting that spikes in policy uncertainty tend to mark the bottom of market corrections rather than the beginning. Given that policy uncertainty around tariffs and other political statements about trade barriers has reduced in intensity lately, this could become supportive for the market.
Are these factors a guarantee that the recent market correction is over? No. But historically, depressed sentiment, high levels of policy uncertainty, and easing financial conditions have often been the contrarian setup that investors should be looking for.
But let's review the case for a bear market rally.
Why This Could Still Be A Bear Market Rally
Multiple indicators indicate this could be a bear market rally. Since markets are forward-looking, investors focus on future earnings growth to justify paying higher valuation multiples today. The problem for the market currently is that economic data, particularly the key ingredient of employment, which drives consumption, is softening. As we discussed in this past weekend's #BullBearReport such is critical given that employment and consumption drive earnings growth.
“Since 1947, earnings per share have grown at 7.7% annually, while the economy expanded by 6.40% annually. That close relationship in growth rates should be logical, particularly given the significant role that consumer spending has in the GDP equation.” – Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish
“Since, consumer spending comprises nearly 70% of the GDP calculation, everything else, from business investment to imports and exports, is a function of the consumer’s “demand.” In other words, if the consumer is slowing down or contracting spending, businesses will not 'invest' in expansion projects, increasing employment, or buying more products for resale. That relationship is shown in the chart below, which compares PCE to jobs and private investment.”
Economic data is softening as post-COVID monetary supports fade. As such, consumer confidence indicators show a downward trend, especially regarding expectations about the future. The chart below shows the difference between current and future expectations. Historically, very low readings are consistent with more protracted bear markets and deeper corrections.
Lastly, the market's technical backdrop remains a near-term concern. While momentum and relative strength have improved, those factors are beginning to wane, suggesting buyers may be reaching near-term exhaustion. Secondly, volume has been weak during this corrective process. If this were just a short-term correction, we would have liked to see much stronger buying coming into the market. Finally, support is just below current market levels, which may limit near-term declines. However, there is formidable overhead resistance just above. The 100 and 200-DMA and the January lows will likely prove challenging for the markets to crack without a pullback to support first.
As noted, numerous investors failed to predict how quickly or dramatically the market decline would be. As such, these "trapped longs" will likely become sellers as soon as this rally falters. While our 2022 example of bear market rallies set new lows, this does not mean we will repeat that process. A pullback to support could hold if economic data stabilizes, trade deals progress, or the Federal Reserve cuts rates.
Conclusion
So, what does this mean for investors? With no clear indication of the market's next move, investors will likely benefit from managing risk exposures. Moreover, investors must avoid making absolute decisions because both sides present compelling evidence. More often than not, markets resolve themselves in a more bullish fashion. Therefore, adopting a more bearish view has a risk associated with it. The current market rally does not necessarily negate the risk of this being a bear market rally. Nor does it signify the end of the correction.
The essential question is whether market risks are appropriately incorporated into prices and if upcoming returns justify additional market participation. For now, caution is prudent. The current macroeconomic environment shows gradual improvement without being strong. While Q1 earnings reports showed strength, the most notable risk to investors is the drastic cuts to forward earnings. Such certainly does not portray economic optimism.
Investors can do a few things to navigate the market's next move.
- Focus on maintaining portfolio equilibrium instead of following recent market gains.
- Review your current exposure positions for alignment with current risk patterns.
- Reassess position sizes, tighten stops, and avoid concentration in crowded trades.
- Risk management can be achieved by combining cash reserves with portfolio hedging strategies.
The trick to navigating markets is not to try to “time” the market. That is impossible. Successful long-term management is understanding when “enough is enough” and being willing to take profits and protect your gains. That is our situation for many stocks after the robust rally from the recent lows.
With markets in a corrective process and trading below long-term moving averages, there is an opportunity to rebalance risk and reduce portfolio volatility.
Unfortunately, many investors will opt to “hope” for further gains, but will sell at lower levels if the correction continues.
Trade accordingly.
The post A Bear Market Rally? appeared first on RIA.
-
Site: Crisis Magazine
As there is only one Our Lady, all her authentic revelations, judiciously put together, show a clear, coherent, common message with a genuine narrative, giving us a preview of the future. The most well-known message came from Our Lady of Fatima, where she called everyone back to repentance, prayer, and sacrifice in order to avoid conditional horrors that would otherwise affect the Church. Sadly…
-
Site: AsiaNews.itToday's news: Hamas announces it will release an Israeli-American hostage;In South Korea, the presidential election campaign begins ahead of the 3 June vote;The ceasefire between India and Pakistan holds, with both sides now facing decisions about their next moves;The Taliban ban chess and dismiss hundreds of university professors.
-
Site: Crisis Magazine
While the pro-abortion activists at the heretical organization Catholics for Choice continue to openly attack the Vatican and its status as a permanent observer at the United Nations, faithful Catholics finally have an ally with the Trump administration in the fight to obstruct the anti-life goals of the population-control zealots and gender ideologues at the United Nations.
-
Site: Zero Hedge"It's The Worst Scandal Ever" - Judicial Watch Founder Warns 'America Is Under Siege'Tyler Durden Mon, 05/12/2025 - 05:00
Via Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com,
Renowned attorney Larry Klayman predicted on USAWatchdog.com that there would be full-blown, legal civil war happening in the court system. He also predicted that violence from the “rabid left” would not only increase but explode.
Klayman, founder of Judicial Watch and now Freedom Watch USA, says there are now more than 233 federal court cases trying to stop or delay President Trump and his Administration.
Klayman is here to update us on what is going on with the struggle America is having with the Deep State trying desperately to hold on to power. Let’s start with Joe Biden’s appearance last week on ABC’s “The View,” where he looked confused and incompetent. Can all of Biden’s last-minute pardons of criminals and J6 members who destroyed evidence be enforced or are they null and void as President Trump has declared? Klayman says,
“They are null and void and so is every other thing that was allegedly signed by him (Biden). He couldn’t even remember what he signed. . . . This is more than a scandal. It’s the worst scandal ever. Let me tell you something, Biden has not been abused as an elderly person. He abused the American people, and it’s much more than abuse. Biden committed treason.”
What about suspending “habeas corpus” as President Trump is thinking about doing to more quickly deport millions of illegal aliens?
Klayman says,
“He can do that in dire times, times of war. We are, in effect, in a war. We had drug traffickers, human traffickers, sex traffickers and terrorists running across our border in mass, over 10 million in the Biden Administration alone and many before that. So, yes, it’s a war-time situation, and he (President Trump) can suspend it. . . .Just get them the heck out of here. They are here illegally. They have no right to be here. The President should just ignore these edicts by these San Francisco judges and other judges . . . and do what he needs to do, and they can’t do anything.
You know the judiciary has no ability to enforce any ruling. It’s only the Executive Branch, President Trump’s branch that he sit’s over, can enforce the rule of law.
This President has been sued thus far . . . in places like San Francisco, Chicago, Boston, Seattle, Portland and other places where they know they are going to get a Leftist judge. Federal judges are supposed to be assigned randomly.
It’s like Wheel of Fortune, but that really does not happen. . . . They actually steer these cases. . . . We need to prosecute these judges and set up the Department of Judicial and Legal Accountability and work with President Trump.
I hope he will appoint me to head that with others that will come on board because we need some strong leadership right now because he’s sinking. He (Trump) has been enjoined 70% to 80% of the time in every Executive Order that he has issued.
This last one said Trump has no control over his departments anymore. There was a temporary restraining order that says you can’t cut workforce; you can’t do anything.”
Why all the attacks on President Trump? Klayman says
"They are attacking him because they hate him. . . . they are attacking him, and it’s all orchestrated. Washington is one giant, excuse the French, circle jerk. It’s a club.”
Larry Klayman is representing conservative reporter Laura Loomer against Bill Maher and HBO.
They are being sued by Loomer for falsely claiming she slept with President Trump. Klayman just deposed Maher and wants to release the video deposition. Maher’s lawyers have so far blocked that. Klayman says, “They are fighting tooth and nail to keep the video of Bill Maher secret so it can never be seen..."
"Look at the hypocrisy. Laura Loomer gets defamed by Bill Maher, and the court has already denied a motion to dismiss . . . She gets smeared all over the world, defamed that she had sex with the President behind the back of Melania. . . . Loomer’s reputation gets harmed, and this harms her financially . . . You can smear a woman and . . . . If President Clinton can have his deposition released, who is Bill Maher that he should be protected? Maher gave money to Kamela Harris as a political candidate. That’s why Maher went after Loomer, because she was a way to get to Trump.”
In closing, Klayman has a warning:
“Pro Hamas demonstrators are busting up campuses threatening Jews and Christians, we see that. We see Hakeem Jefferies the Minority Leader in the House, and Ilhan Omar, Rashita Tlaib, AOC and Bernie Sanders whipping up violence along with Jasmine Crockett, and they are calling for violence.”
Are we headed for a civil war?
Klaman says, “I believe we are.”
There is more in the 56-minute interview.
Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog.com as he goes One-on-One with renowned lawyer and government corruption fighter, Larry Klayman, founder of FreedomWatchUSA.org, as he rolls out a new organization to help Trump and the DOJ with his newly created Department of Judicial and Legal Accountability (DOLA) for 5.10.25.
-
Site: Mises InstituteA Gallup survey taken in March this year found only 46% of Americans expressed support for Israel (the lowest level in 25 years of Gallup's annual tracking).
-
Site: Mundabor's blogTo every thing there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven: A time to be born, and a time to die; a time to plant, and a time to pluck up that which is planted; A time to kill, and a time to heal; a time to break down, and a time to build […]
-
Site: Mises InstituteThese subsidies exemplify crony capitalism. The Austrian School of economics defines any subsidy as government intervention in the functioning of the economy.
-
Site: The Orthosphere
LOL. I was using Grok as a research assistant just now, asking what I had written about something or other since I started writing online in 2009.
Grok thinks I’m dead!
Grok thinks I’m dead, *even though I’m the one asking Grok for resources about my past online writing!*
Caveat inquisitor!
On the other hand, Grok did just give me quite an accurate recapitulation of my conversations with Zippy about usury, back in the day. It even got usury right (i.e., *not* high interest rates, but rather, mutuum contracts).
NB: I am *not* suicidal. Nor do I think I matter enough for The Powers That Be to want to expend resources on rubbing me out (not yet, at least, although I’m sure I am on their list (as are you, you Nazi Orthosphere reader)).
This whole thing is just silly.
I mean, sure, any search engine trained on the products of fallible humans is bound to generate fallacious results from time to time. But still. Really? Grok can see perfectly well that I posted here just the other day. Sheesh.
Just be super careful out there and triple check all the citations you get from AI.
Honestly, it looks to me as though AI is bound to drive the greater part of human interaction down to the level of the high school sophomore. Not that there is anything wrong with high school sophomores; I’m more or less myself just one such, writ experienced.
Still. Really?
-
Site: The Unz ReviewDemocrat politicians led a break-in at a New Jersey ICE facility. In Worcester, Massachusetts, Democrat city council member Etel Haxhiaj led an assault on local police and federal officers in an effort to prevent apprehension by ICE of a violent immigrant-invader that the Biden scum permitted to illegally enter America in August, 2022. Local police...
-
Site: The Unz ReviewPresident Trump’s return to the Middle East this week, the first since his first-term 2017 visit, will take place amidst great turmoil. It is a region that bears little resemblance to the Middle East of 2017 and it appears, at least from media reporting this past week, that the Trump Administration has some understanding of...
-
Site: AntiWar.comOn Monday, April 7, 2025, the opening brief in Kinnucan v. NSA et al. (no. 24-7642) was filed in the 9th US Circuit Court of Appeals. The appeal seeks to reverse a US District Court decision that a 57-year-old report in the possession of the National Security Agency (NSA) is a Congressional record not subject … Continue reading "New Appeals Briefs Filed in USS Liberty FOIA Lawsuit"
-
Site: The Unz ReviewThe world just witnesses a shockingly one-sided air war between Pakistan and India last week. Pakistan air force, equipped with Chinese weapon systems, took down a large number of India air combat assets while suffering zero loss. The air battle featured Chinese-made J-10C fighters, PL-15 air to air missiles, HQ-9 air defense system, and ZDK-03...
-
Site: AntiWar.comThe situation in Gaza today starkly highlights Israeli exceptionalism. Israel is employing the starvation of two million Palestinians in the blockaded and devastated Gaza Strip as a tactic to extract political concessions from Palestinian groups operating there. On April 23, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) described the current humanitarian … Continue reading "Famine in Gaza: Will We Continue To Watch as Gaza Starves to Death?"
-
Site: The Unz Review‘White farmers are being brutally killed in South Africa’ warned President Donald this week amid all the uproar and craziness over tariffs, world trade and kickoff of a campaign to force Big Pharma to lower its prices to consumers. Why would Trump target South Africa? First, because South Africa dared accuse Israel’s far right government...
-
Site: The Unz ReviewWhen politicians fight wars to truce or ceasefire, there’s a mistake they often make. That is to give up escalation dominance, escalation control, to the adversary so that he gains confidence that when he is ready, he will resume fighting in a much stronger position than he was at the truce. In short, ceasefire doesn’t...
-
Site: The Unz ReviewThe dramatic ongoing crackdown against free speech and academic freedom by the Trump Administration has been very widely condemned as "McCarthyism" by its numerous public critics. Although these current proposals vastly exceeded any of the anti-Communist measures advocated by the junior senator from Wisconsin during the early 1950s, this controversy prompted me to investigate that...
-
Site: The Unz ReviewPM Keir Starmer said immigrant-invaders are turning Britain into an “island of strangers.” He blames the Conservatives for betraying the British people for cheap foreign labour that is “pulling our country apart.” Unlimited immigration has inflicted “incalculable damage” on Great Britain. Starmer promises to reduce annual inflows by 100,000. His program seems to be to...
Pages
